Commercial Property Market Mid-Year Review and Outlook 2025

Commercial Property Market Mid-Year Review and Outlook 2025

Commercial Property Market Mid-Year Review and Outlook 2025

  • Research and Reports

The SCSI has released its Commercial Property Market Monitor Mid-Year Review and Outlook, providing a detailed snapshot of occupier and investor sentiment across Ireland’s office, industrial, and retail sectors. The findings point to a market in early recovery, with industrial assets continuing to lead, prime offices showing steady improvement, and retail stabilising in prime locations despite ongoing challenges in secondary assets.

Key Findings

  • Occupier demand:
    • Overall occupier demand index: +13% net balance (down slightly from +17% in Q4 2024 but well above 2023 levels)
    • Industrial: sustained growth at +15%
    • Offices: steady recovery at +15%
    • Retail: softened to +10% but remains in growth phase
  • Investor sentiment:
    • Flat at 0% net balance in Q2 2025 (down from +5% in Q4 2024), highlighting ongoing caution
    • Industrial remains the strongest performer; office and retail investment subdued
  • Capital & rental values (12-month outlook):
    • Prime Industrial: +2.5% capital, +2.5% rental
    • Prime Office: +2.1% capital, +2.6% rental
    • Prime Retail: +1.0% capital, +1.8% rental
  • Valuations & credit conditions:
    • 57% of surveyors now view the market as “fair value” (up from just 11% in 2023)
    • Credit conditions have eased since 2023, supporting cautious recovery
  • Occupier trends:
    • 86% of surveyors say tenants increasingly demand health, well-being and sustainability features
    • 68% believe occupiers are willing to pay a premium for such facilities
    • Many businesses are expected to reduce office footprints but consolidate into prime, well-located offices

The SCSI Monitor is based on responses from Chartered Surveyors nationwide and provides an independent barometer of market sentiment. It highlights a commercial property sector at a turning point, with selective growth, ongoing polarisation between prime and secondary assets, and sustainability priorities driving future demand.

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